Posts Tagged History

Gaiman: SOPA and PIPA are on the wrong side of history

Posted by on Friday, 27 January, 2012

Author Neil Gaiman

The twin anti-piracy threats that were being considered by Congress — the SOPA bill in the House and the PIPA legislation in the Senate — have been put aside due to the storm of controversy and criticism they sparked. But the media and entertainment industries are unlikely to give up their battle so easily, author Neil Gaiman said in an interview this week, even though what they are trying to do amounts to “trying to put genies back in bottles.” Gaiman, who recently signed an open letter protesting SOPA with over a dozen other prominent artists, says that the content industries have to recognize that the internet has changed the media landscape just as fundamentally as Gutenberg’s printing press did.

Gaiman is probably best-known for his comics and graphic novels — including the Sandman series — as well as the novels American Gods and Coraline, and the screenplay for the film Beowulf. Although British-born, he lives in Minnesota with his wife, musician Amanda Palmer. In the interview, Gaiman said that as someone who creates books and screenplays and other content, he is somewhat conflicted about what the internet and digital media have done to traditional businesses like books and movies:

I as a creator kind of missed out on the DVD era, which is kind of sad, because I would likely be so much richer if I hadn’t — but that era was really such a tiny fragment of time, really just an eye-blink in the scheme of things, in which Hollywood was able to sell a physical object to people that contained content.

I think people in Hollywood are convinced that people would suddenly start buying DVDs again if only they could stop all this peer-to-peer filesharing and so on. They just are fundamentally missing the point… genies don’t go back in bottles once they’re out.

Gaiman said that the internet represents a fundamental change that is altering the competitive landscape for virtually every business whose product can be digitized and uploaded, and they need to adapt or perish. “Gutenberg put an awful lot of scribes out of work too,” the author said. “They had debates back then that seem nonsensical now, like the debate about the evils of printing bibles that anyone could read, rather than having them interpreted for them by monks and priests.”

That disruption isn’t good or bad, Gaiman said, “it just is. It’s a fact of life now.” And while legislators will no doubt continue to push forward with laws like SOPA and PIPA, he said, they won’t be able to turn back the clock to a time before the internet was invented. In a video interview he recorded last year for the Open Rights Group, which is embedded below, Gaiman talked about how he was initially incensed about people pirating his work, but eventually came to the realization that they were actually promoting his work, and that he was selling more in countries where his books were pirated.

Gaiman said in his interview with GigaOM that the biggest single change the internet has sparked is an explosion of information — and that has been both good and bad. It’s good because anyone can reach an audience, he said, but it can also be bad because there is so much noise, and it’s hard to find the good content in that sea of information:

The biggest change between the 20th century and the 21st is that all of the gatekeepers are going away. For the first million years or so of humanity, information was incredibly scarce, and it was an incredibly powerful thing that people devoted their entire lives to uncovering… but somewhere around 1997 it changed, and we moved from famine to glut.

I read somewhere that there were more books published in a week than there were published in all of 1950, or something like that. Is that a good thing? I’m not sure. It makes it harder to find the things that you like… It’s now the job of the crowd and the hive mind to do that.

And while SOPA and PIPA proponents see only the negatives of the internet and content sharing, there are some positives as well, Gaiman said — including the ability that any artist has to reach an audience with their work. The author described how he and his wife wanted to record part of a performance tour they were on, and set up a donation through the Kickstarter crowdfunding platform. “We asked for ,000 because that was the absolute minimum we needed to do it, and we wound up with 3,000,” he said. “That showed me there was this completely different way of monetizing something.”

That kind of phenomenon allows creators to reach their fans directly, without having to go through a traditional middleman, Gaiman said — and that obviously makes industries that are composed primarily of middlemen rather nervous. But while they will undoubtedly continue to fight for laws like SOPA and PIPA, the author said that they are “fighting on the wrong side of history.” At some point, “it’s like King Canute railing against the waves; the waves will continue to come in, and the landscape will continue to change.”

Post and thumbnail photos courtesy Kyle Cassidy via Wikimedia Commons

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In Metal Evolution, Rock Gods Hammer Out Genre’s History

Posted by on Friday, 30 December, 2011

The filmmaking duo behind Metal: A Headbanger’s Journey and Iron Maiden: Flight 666 crank VH1 Classic up to 11 with a deep dive into the mosh pit of history.



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A visual history of mobiles: Past, present and future

Posted by on Sunday, 18 December, 2011

Sometimes I can’t help but think back to my first cellular phone back in the mid-1990′s. But the history of mobiles started a decade prior, when phones were beyond the means of most consumers. Now we have countries with more mobile subscriptions than people and the phone itself is used less and less for it’s original purpose: Voice calls.

This infographic, courtesy of Savings.com, brings together historical datapoints showing the decreasing cost and size of mobile devices, in conjunction with more capable hardware and services.

Interestingly, the “phone of the future” will support HD graphics, electronic payments and can be used as a game console. Galaxy Nexus owners are already living in the future then as the smartphone with its NFC chip can be used as wireless wallet, is great for watching HD videos and connects to console-quality game services in the cloud, such as OnLive, right now.

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Kickstarter from IBM chief scientist celebrates history of computing

Posted by on Monday, 5 December, 2011

Computing is taken for granted in our post-PC world, in which we are increasingly surrounded by a multitude of smart devices. But did you know that computing and our quest to build intelligent machines is essentially a human narrative and a stunningly engaging one at that?

That’s the premise of a new Kickstarter project from Grady Booch, IBM’s chief scientist, co-creator of the Unified Modeling Language and a rock star in the programming world. Booch is looking for ,000 to help launch Computing: The Human Experience. The project is aimed at shining a light on computing much the way that Carl Sagan’s Cosmos TV series elevated the universe 25 years ago, generating excitement over the exploration and understanding of the heavens.

But to call Computing a documentary really just scratches the surface of what Booch is proposing. He’s envisioning a “trans-media” assault, complete with a series of broadcasts on the web and on TV as well as apps and interactive e-books, a social network and a website. Booch and his wife Jan along with screenwriter Seth Friedman will start by creating a series of recorded lectures that will lead to a book and online videos, culminating in a seven-minute trailer that can ultimately entice bigger funders. All in all, Booch imagines Computing to be a -million project.

So is there enough drama and excitement in all of this previously geeky territory? Absolutely, Booch says, because the project will not only focus on the science of computing but will challenge people to think about our relationship to computers and whether we are controlling or being controlled by our creations:

We need to show them all – in a way they totally understand – that Computing is distinctly not a boring technical video of talking heads, but that it is really the unbelievable, exciting, provocative story of humanity’s ongoing fight between extending and not surrendering ourselves to our digital doppelgangers. In other words, what we are doing here is creating the initial material that proves just how fascinating, jaw-dropping, and cool Computing really is. Very. Wickedly. Cool.

Booch is offering backers increasing levels of access to himself depending on the donations, ranging from a hand-written note for a donation to a phone call or face-to-face meeting for 0. At the high end, ,000 donors will get their name hidden in the book, a copy of the app, a credit in the teaser video and a Booch bobble head figure.

This definitely plays to the computer scientists in the crowd. But it’s cool to see Booch take on this subject and try to frame it for a mainstream audience. Booch apparently got some of the idea for the project after hearing from his goddaughter that all she needed to know about computing was surfing the web.

“That was frightening and it gave us even further impetus for the project,” Grady told eWeek. “We want to make sure people get an opportunity to know what’s behind their Facebook page.”

The project is not being pursued by IBM so Booch can’t count on big funding from his employer. But he’s found a good partner in The Computer History Museum in Mountain View, which has offered to host Booch’s first lecture talks. Booch has raised about ,000 so far and has until Jan. 3 to reach his ,000 goal.

I think this is a timely project, especially as computers become so personal and indispensable to people. I think it would be a shame to see so many people grow up surrounded by computers without having a deeper understanding about what’s happening. And for the sake of the U.S. tech sector, we need to do a better job of telling the story of our successes in technology, to help influence a generation of students who can help keep the Silicon Valley story alive.

We’re falling behind in the number of computer engineers we produce and already there’s a talent crunch in most big tech centers. We need to connect these cool mobile apps and online sites like Facebook to career choices for students. We need to demystify the computing story and make it less of something only geeks pursue. The big opportunity is in recruiting all kinds of people, non-technical and techie alike, to jobs in computing. I’m not sure one project can turn the tide but it’s time we had more ambitious efforts aimed in this direction.

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Why Oracle’s big boxes are on the wrong side of history

Posted by on Wednesday, 5 October, 2011

History BookWhen the week is over, Oracle World will have been bracketed by two events. One: the unveiling of Oracle Exalytics, a beefy in-memory appliance dedicated to large-scale analytics, during Larry Ellison’s opening keynote. Two: the undressing of Oracle’s cloud computing initiatives by Marc Benioff, SalesForce’s CEO, and the unceremonious cancellation of his keynote this morning.

Both events highlight that when it comes to Big Data, analytics and cloud computing, Oracle is on the wrong side of history.

To glimpse the future of the data stack, Oracle need look no further than its own backyard, to what Silicon Valley start-ups are embracing: the distributed processing ecosystem of Hadoop, NoSQL data stores like MongoDB, and cloud platforms like Amazon’s web services.  As Marc Andreessen said last week, “Not a single one of our startups uses Oracle.”

The challenge for Oracle, which did billion in revenue last year, is that they sell to big enterprises and selling technology to start-ups doesn’t move the needle.

Worse, Oracle’s support for the kind of technology stacks embraced by startups — open-source software, elastic architectures, commodity hardware grids — cannibalizes revenue from their existing lines of business.

“I don’t care if our commodity X86 business goes to zero,” Ellison said in Oracle’s last earnings call, “We don’t make money selling that.”

This commoditization wave may have sent others, including HP, fleeing from hardware, but it has driven Oracle into the breach: they are attempting to capture higher margins on sales of their Sun-acquired SPARC architectures.

The buyers of these big boxes are enterprises struggling with sharp increases in data volumes, and willing to pay top dollar for what Ellison dubs a “100 percent upwardly compatible migration path,” referring to the SuperCluster T4-4.

But history is not on Oracle’s side.  Today’s startups are tomorrow’s Goliaths, and soon they will have to confront a future that, as William Gibson quips, “is already here… just not evenly distributed.”

Here are four realities that Oracle must face to maintain its unassailable position as the world’s leading data firm:

The future of data is distributed

“Lots of little servers everywhere, lots of little databases everywhere. Your information got hopelessly fragmented in the process.” – from Matthew Symonds book Softwar (p. 38).

This is how Larry Ellison described the technology landscape of the 1990s, and his personal jihad against complexity has deepened Oracle’s distrust of distributed computing.

But the tide of data isn’t turning back, and the scale is too large to contain in any box; Big Data, on the scale of hundreds of terabytes to petabytes, must be distributed across “lots of little servers.” The most viable tool available today for processing and persisting Big Data is Hadoop.

Whether at the data layer — or a level above, at analytics — firms must adapt to this distributed reality and build tools that enable parallelized, many-to-many migration of data between nodes on Hadoop and those on their own platforms.

The future of computing is elastic

Metal server boxes don’t bend or expand; they are inelastic, both physically and economically.  In contrast, the needs of businesses are highly elastic; as companies grow, they shouldn’t have to unpack and install boxes to meet their compute needs, any more than they should install generators for more electricity.

Computing is a utility, compute cycles are fungible, and firms want to pay for what they need, when it’s needed, like electricity.

The ability to scale storage and compute capacity up or down, within minutes, is liberating for individuals and cost-effective for organizations, but it is impossible with a “cloud in a box.”  It is only enabled by a true cloud computing infrastructure, with virtualization and dynamic provisioning from a common pool of resources.

The future of applications is not on the desktop

Despite that Oracle developed the first pure network computer in 1996 (or perhaps because of this), far too many of Oracle’s supporting business applications are delivered via the desktop, rather than via web browsers.

By comparison, Cloudera has created a rich web-based application for managing and monitoring all aspects of Hadoop clusters; Amazon Web Services has a fully-featured web console for interacting with its offerings; and Salesforce’s products are almost exclusively web-driven.

The expressivity afforded by web browsers has risen dramatically in the last two years, particularly with the emergence of Javascript as the lingua franca of web application development, and improvements in Javascript engines.

The same trend from desktop to browser also extends into mobile devices.  An increasingly large fraction of computing occurs on smart phones and tablets, and forward-thinking firms, like Dropbox, have built applications that cater to this reality.

The future of analytics is beautiful

The decades of disappointment with business intelligence tools isn’t due only to their lack of brains (such that they’ve now fled to the fresh moniker of “business analytics”), but also the absence of beauty. Data is beautiful, as any reader of Edward Tufte can attest.

When visualized thoughtfully and artfully, data has an almost hymnal power to persuade decision makers.  And when exploring data of high complexity and dimensionality, the kind that lives in Oracle’s databases, tools that accelerate the “mean time to pretty chart” are essential.

In addition, analytics tool users are right to expect a smooth user experience on a par with other tools, whether photo editing or word processing, when they are creating and exploring data visualizations.

Yet amidst all of Oracle’s presentations and marketing materials about big data and analytics, one finds not a single dashboard or visualization to stirs the senses.

While Spotfire and Tableau are notable exceptions to this critique, on the whole, the tools that dot the Oracle landscape lack either brains or beauty.

Enterprises will be slow to wake up to these realities, and Oracle will continue to profit handsomely from their slumber.

However, the opportunities abound to chip away at the massive market share that Oracle now holds, providing data services to start-ups who refuse to pay Oracle’s prices, or helping medium-sized businesses migrate to new solutions.

Michael Driscoll is the CTO of Metamarkets (see disclosure), a data analytics firm.

Disclosure: Metamarkets is backed by True Ventures, a venture capital firm that is an investor in the parent company of this blog, Giga Omni Media. Om Malik, founder of Giga Omni Media, is also a venture partner at True.

Image courtesy of Flickr user crazytales562.

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Beating Expectations: A Short History of Amazon’s Future Tablet

Posted by on Wednesday, 28 September, 2011

If Amazon is so well-suited to make and sell a multimedia tablet, why has it taken so long? And what could still go wrong?



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